Halloween forecasts: storms and showers in Southwest and Southern Plains, dry elsewhere
Forecasts ahead of Halloween (Saturday 31 October) point to storms and rain across the southwestern and southern-central US, with a mostly dry, warm East and a cool Northwest. Newsweek relays AccuWeather's maps; the New York Post carries a FOX Weather outlook.
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The story, neutrally told
Centre · 1A new AccuWeather forecast shows storms across parts of the southwestern and central US around Halloween, according to Newsweek. NewsweekN “Parts of the southwestern and central part of the country are likely to face storms across the Halloween period, according to a new forecast produced by AccuWeather.” Read at Newsweek ↗ Centre · 1For 30 October, AccuWeather predicts storms across central Texas, western Oklahoma and western Kansas, per Newsweek's account, with pleasant conditions further east. NewsweekN “The forecast predicts storms across central Texas, western Oklahoma and western Kansas on October 30, though conditions further east should be “pleasant.”” Read at Newsweek ↗ Centre · 1On Halloween itself, 31 October, AccuWeather forecasts showers from Texas to Iowa, covering nearly all of Texas, New Mexico and Oklahoma, with dry conditions for most of the rest of the country apart from parts of the West Coast. NewsweekN “On Halloween itself showers are forecast from Texas to Iowa. Dry conditions are expected for the remainder of the country, bar some areas along the West Coast” Read at Newsweek ↗
Centre · 1Cold weather is expected in the northern Rockies and Northwest, including Idaho and Montana; the Old Farmer's Almanac forecasts chilly conditions across much of the US, with possible snow in the Upper Midwest and Alaska. NewsweekN “it could get cold in the Northwest around Idaho and Montana”“The Old Farmer's Almanac forecast “chilly conditions” across much of the U.S. on Halloween” Read at Newsweek ↗ Right · 1The New York Post, running a FOX Weather piece, notes Halloween falls on a Saturday for the first time since 2020, and expects the Northeast and Southeast to be dry and warm, with highs in the 60s and 70s respectively. New York PostR “It’s the first time since 2020 that Halloween is on a Saturday”“Similar to the Northeast, the Southeast is also expected to be warm and dry.” Read at New York Post ↗ Right · 1FOX Weather says remnant moisture from Hurricane Vance could surge north into the Southern Plains and raise the rain risk, though uncertainty remains high. New York PostR “Remnant moisture from Hurricane Vance could surge north, increasing the risk of rain.”“Uncertainty in the forecast remains high at this time” Read at New York Post ↗
Right · 1The FOX Forecast Center expects an active Southwest, where a low-pressure area could push inland on Halloween with scattered rain, storms and possible flash flooding, while Los Angeles may be cooler than average and the Northwest cool and dry. New York PostR “An area of low pressure that could push inland on Halloween itself, bringing scattered rain and storms, with the potential for flash flooding.”“In the Northwest, things are looking cool and dry” Read at New York Post ↗ Mixed · 2Both pieces tie the pattern to a strong El Niño; Newsweek adds that it is expected to bring a wetter southern US and drier, warmer north this winter, citing FOX Weather's Bob Van Dillen. NewsweekN “Over the winter this is expected to result in wetter conditions in the southern U.S. and drier and warmer conditions in the north.” Read at Newsweek ↗ New York PostR “as the brewing Super El Niño has full control of the nation’s weather” Read at New York Post ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left0 outlets
No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Centre1 outlet
- Framing
- Map-driven explainer relaying AccuWeather's day-by-day forecast for 30 and 31 October, with Almanac and El Niño context.
- Emphasis
- Where storms and showers fall by state; cold in the Northwest.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not mention Hurricane Vance or the trick-or-treating angle.
- Charged language
- “could threaten”
- For example
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“Parts of the southwestern and central part of the country are likely to face storms across the Halloween period” — Newsweek
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Regional, consumer-style outlook for trick-or-treaters based on FOX Weather, mostly lighthearted.
- Emphasis
- Mild, dry East and Midwest, plus Southern Plains rain risk and Southwest flash-flood potential.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not cite AccuWeather or give specific dates for storms before Halloween.
- Charged language
- “spooky weather”“Super El Niño”
- For example
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“will any regions in the Lower 48 see some spooky weather in their forecast as the brewing Super El Niño has full control of the nation’s weather?” — New York Post
What every side reports
- Halloween is Saturday 31 October.
- Storms or rain are forecast for the Southwest and Southern Plains around Halloween.
- The Northwest is expected to be cool.
- El Niño is shaping the weather pattern.
Where accounts differ
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Weather in the Midwest and Northwest
- Centre
- Newsweek cites the Almanac for chilly weather, possible Upper Midwest rain and snow, and AccuWeather showers up to Iowa.
- Right
- NY Post/FOX Weather expects a dry, warmer-than-average Midwest and a cool, dry Northwest.
AccuWeather organisation
AccuWeather's forecast, as relayed by Newsweek, shows storms on 30 October and showers on 31 October across Texas and the southern Plains, with cold in the northern West.
“On Halloween itself showers are forecast from Texas to Iowa.” — Newsweek
Left0 articles
No coverage yet.
Centre1 article
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Halloween Weather Map Shows Where Storms Could Threaten Multiple States
Neutral Detailed state-by-state relay of AccuWeather's forecast with expert context.
Right1 article
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Neutral Light, family-oriented FOX Weather outlook for trick-or-treaters with caveats about uncertainty.
- 25 Oct 15:33 First NewsweekN Halloween Weather Map Shows Where Storms Could Threaten Multiple States
- 26 Oct 16:59 +25h 26m New York PostR Halloween is almost here — as early forecasts predict mixed weather conditions for millions of trick-or-treaters
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
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