Amazon's fourth-quarter revenue forecast falls short of estimates; shares drop after hours
Amazon gave a fourth-quarter revenue outlook largely below Wall Street estimates, while AWS growth beat forecasts and ad growth slowed. Shares fell in after-hours trading.
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The story, neutrally told
Centre · 1Amazon.com forecast fourth-quarter revenue largely below Wall Street estimates on Thursday 29 October, raising concerns about muted retail demand over the holiday season. CNAN “Amazon.com forecast fourth-quarter revenue largely below Wall Street estimates on Thursday, raising concerns over muted retail demand over the crucial holiday season” Read at CNA ↗ Centre · 1The company expects revenue of $240.0 billion to $247.0 billion, against analysts' average estimate of $244.51 billion, according to LSEG data. CNAN “It expects revenue of between $240.0 billion and $247.0 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with analysts' average estimate of $244.51 billion” Read at CNA ↗ Mixed · 2CNA reported that shares fell more than 7 per cent in extended trading, while Variety said the stock was down 4% after the market close; the two figures may reflect different moments in after-hours trading. CNAN “Shares of the company fell more than 7 per cent in extended trading.” Read at CNA ↗ VarietyLC “Its stock was down 4% post-market close following the earnings report.” Read at Variety ↗
Left · 1For the third quarter, Amazon reported $201.9 billion in net sales and diluted earnings per share of $1.89, against analyst expectations of $202.31 billion and $1.96, per LSEG. VarietyLC “Amazon reported $201.9 billion in net sales and a diluted earnings per share of $1.89. Wall Street analysts expected the company to report $202.31 billion in revenue with an EPS of $1.96” Read at Variety ↗ Mixed · 2Amazon Web Services revenue rose 39% to $46 billion, ahead of the 38.2% rise to $45.61 billion analysts expected and up from 37% in the second quarter. Both outlets describe it as the fastest growth in nearly five years. CNAN “Revenue at Amazon Web Services rose 39 per cent to $46 billion in the third quarter ended September” Read at CNA ↗ VarietyLC “the fastest growth for the sector in nearly five years” Read at Variety ↗ Left · 1Advertising revenue growth slowed to 12%, from 26% in the second quarter. Amazon attributed this to holding Prime Day in the second quarter for most larger countries and to foreign exchange changes. VarietyLC “This quarter saw the sector’s growth plummet to 12%, a drop the company attributed to changes in foreign exchange rates and the shifting of Prime Day.” Read at Variety ↗
Centre · 1Amazon maintained its annual capital spending forecast of about $220 billion as it builds data centres to compete in AI. CNAN “The company also maintained its annual capital spending forecast of about $220 billion.” Read at CNA ↗ Left · 1CEO Andy Jassy said AWS investment is working, with projected growth of over 40% in both 2027 and 2028, and that broader selection and faster delivery are winning retail market share with improving margins. VarietyLC “projected revenue growth rates of over 40% both in 2027 and in 2028”“Our broader selection and speedier delivery are helping us capture more retail market segment share with improving margins” Read at Variety ↗ Centre · 1CNA places the outlook against pressure on consumers from higher gas prices and living costs, though it notes the National Retail Federation predicted a 4.2 per cent rise in US holiday sales. CNAN “The National Retail Federation earlier this month predicted a 4.2 per cent jump in total US holiday season sales.” Read at CNA ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left1 outlet
- Framing
- Leads on slowing advertising growth and the earnings miss, with Amazon's own explanations and CEO quotes.
- Emphasis
- Ad growth falling to 12%, the third-quarter revenue and EPS shortfall, and AWS growth and Jassy's long-term claims.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not mention the fourth-quarter revenue forecast, capital spending or consumer-demand concerns.
- Charged language
- “plummet”“Undershoots”
- For example
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“This quarter saw the sector’s growth plummet to 12%” — Variety
Centre4 outlets
- Framing
- Leads on the weak holiday-quarter forecast and what it signals for US retail and consumer spending.
- Emphasis
- Guidance range versus consensus, consumer pressure from inflation and gas prices, and the shift of investor focus to AWS.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not report third-quarter total sales or EPS misses, the advertising slowdown, or Amazon's explanations.
- Charged language
- “downbeat”
- For example
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“The downbeat fourth-quarter outlook signals US retailers could face pain in the holiday season” — CNA
Right0 outlets
No right outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
What every side reports
- AWS revenue rose 39% to $46 billion in the third quarter, the fastest growth in nearly five years.
- Amazon's shares fell in after-hours trading after the report.
- Figures are compared with LSEG analyst consensus.
Where accounts differ
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Size of the after-hours share fall
- Left
- Down 4% post-market close.
- Centre
- More than 7 per cent in extended trading.
Left1 article
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Amazon Ad Revenue Growth Slows in Q3, Ecommerce Giant Undershoots Earnings Estimates
Mixed Earnings report stressing the advertising slowdown and miss, balanced by AWS strength and Amazon's explanations.
Centre5 articles
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CNAN ·
Amazon projects fourth quarter sales below estimates
Neutral Business-wire style report centred on the below-consensus holiday forecast and consumer-spending risks.
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Right0 articles
No coverage yet.
- 29 Oct 20:08 First CNAN Amazon projects fourth quarter sales below estimates
- 29 Oct 20:08 First CNAN Amazon slides on light fourth-quarter sales estimates, cash burn
- 29 Oct 20:19 +10m VarietyLC Amazon Ad Revenue Growth Slows in Q3, Ecommerce Giant Undershoots Earnings Estimates
- 29 Oct 20:27 +19m DeadlineN Amazon Shares Fall On Q3 Earnings Miss As Big Tech Market Rout Continues
- 29 Oct 20:38 +30m Anadolu AgencyN Amazon net sales surge 12% to $202B in Q3 as cloud unit accelerates
- 29 Oct 21:20 +1h 12m TechCrunchN Amazon reported booming cloud revenue but otherwise missed expectations
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
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