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Aramco chief: East-West pipeline kept Brent below $200; Hormuz squeeze may last two years

Saudi Aramco chief executive Amin Nasser told a London energy conference that Brent could have reached $200 without the East-West pipeline, and that rebuilding stockpiles after a Hormuz reopening could take up to two years.

2 outlets · 0L · 2C · 0R First reported Account updated
Image: The National
Image: Gulf News

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The story, neutrally told

Centre · 1Saudi Aramco chief executive Amin Nasser said on Monday 5 October that Brent crude would have reached up to $200 a barrel if Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline had not existed. Centre · 2Nasser spoke at the Energy Intelligence conference in London, saying Aramco can make its maximum sustainable production capacity of 12 million barrels per day available within days and that "Our system is intact". Centre · 1The National reported that Brent has traded around $100 a barrel over the past month, even as more tankers passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Centre · 1The pipeline was temporarily halted after an attack last month; Aramco has since restored flows to about 80 per cent of capacity, giving it more oil to ship from the Red Sea, and has boosted shipments from Ras Tanura. Centre · 1Nasser said Aramco's supplies proved resilient through the conflict thanks to international storage and fast repairs to damaged infrastructure, and that the company is seeking alternative export routes and more overseas storage. The National noted he did not mention reports of recent attacks on the kingdom. Centre · 2He warned that global stockpiles have become "scarily thin" and that, until Hormuz fully reopens and confidence returns, pressure "at both ends of the barrel will intensify", with refined fuel prices having risen even more sharply than crude.

Centre · 1Even after Hormuz reopens, Nasser said, replenishing inventories while meeting demand could take up to two years. Centre · 1According to Gulf News, Nasser said almost 3 billion barrels of supply have been lost since the conflict began and about 1 billion barrels released from stocks, and that the roughly 6 billion barrels remaining in storage should not be considered practically available to the market. Centre · 1His remarks came days after major economies announced plans to release up to 100 million barrels of emergency oil and diesel stocks, which Nasser said would buy time but not fix supply-demand imbalances.

Centre · 2Gulf News noted that a Kpler report suggested exports are back at pre-war levels, but said Nasser attributes this to commercial inventories held by refiners and traders rather than reliable reserves. The National added that higher Gulf flows have given scant relief because markets still price security risks in the Gulf and Red Sea.

Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.

Left0 outlets

No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.

Centre2 outlets

Framing
Both Gulf-based outlets report Nasser's remarks as an energy-market warning. The National leads on the pipeline's role in capping prices at $200, while Gulf News leads on the two-year stockpile recovery.
Emphasis
The National stresses Aramco's resilience, pipeline recovery and capacity. Gulf News stresses the scale of lost supply and the unavailability of stored barrels.
Leaves out or plays down
Neither outlet gives independent verification of the $200 counterfactual. Gulf News does not cover the pipeline claim, and The National does not cover the 3 billion and 6 billion barrel figures.
Charged language
“scarily thin”“The system is already straining”
For example
“Oil prices could have hit $200 a barrel if not for East-West pipeline, Aramco chief says” — The National
“Saudi Aramco chief warns Hormuz oil supply squeeze could take two years to ease” — Gulf News

Right0 outlets

No right outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.