Americans for Prosperity survey finds narrow GOP lead on affordability among swing voters
A survey by the conservative group Americans for Prosperity found 44% of swing voters in eight states trust Republicans more on bringing down costs, versus 39% for Democrats. The survey has no margin of error and was largely door-to-door.
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The story, neutrally told
Americans for Prosperity (AFP), a right-leaning free-market advocacy group, released survey results showing Republicans with a narrow edge over Democrats on affordability among swing voters. New York PostR “Republicans have a surprising, yet slim advantage over Democrats on cost-of-living issues with “swing” voters in eight critical states” Read at New York Post ↗ Just the NewsRC “Republicans have a slim lead over Democrats on affordability issues, according to a new poll from the conservative, free-market group Americans for Prosperity.” Read at Just the News ↗ Asked which party they trust more to bring costs down, 44% of respondents chose Republicans, 39% chose Democrats and 16% said neither. Just the NewsRC “44% of respondents said Republicans, 39% said Democrats and 16% said they don't trust either party to help.” Read at Just the News ↗ The survey asked 24,089 swing voters in Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin. New York PostR “AFP’s survey quizzed 24,089 “swing” voters in Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin.” Read at New York Post ↗
It has no margin of error and was largely taken by canvassers going door to door. New York PostR “It didn’t have a margin of error, and the survey was largely taken by canvassers going door to door.” Read at New York Post ↗ Just the NewsRC “The report has no margin of error, and the findings were based on canvassers going door to door to talk to voters.” Read at Just the News ↗ AFP engaged about 98,320 people in those states during August, but its finding rests only on the swing voters' responses. New York PostR “had engaged some 98,320 people in those eight states during the month of August, but its finding was based on the “swing” voters’ responses.” Read at New York Post ↗ The New York Post notes that other polling has often shown Republicans behind on the economy and cost of living, citing a New York Times/Siena College poll that gave Democrats an 8-point edge on the issue. New York PostR “a New York Times/Siena College poll giving the Dems an 8-percentage-point edge over the GOP on that issue” Read at New York Post ↗
AFP spokesperson Katelyn Bledsoe said Republican candidates have a clear opening and need to contrast conservative solutions with a Democratic Party she described as increasingly shaped by socialist ideas. New York PostR ““Republican candidates have a clear opening,” she added.” Read at New York Post ↗ AFP's Ohio director, Donovan O'Neil, said concerns about socialism began appearing more often at doors from mid-August. New York PostR ““Beginning in mid-August, concerns about socialism started appearing more frequently among voters, and that concern has continued to grow.”” Read at New York Post ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on.
Left0 outlets
No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Centre0 outlets
No centre outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Right2 outlets
- Framing
- Both outlets lead with the Republican edge as a notable finding, while noting the source is a right-leaning group and that the survey has no margin of error. The New York Post adds context from contrary polling and AFP's political message.
- Emphasis
- The Post stresses the result as surprising and gives AFP's socialism message; Just the News stresses the topline numbers and methodology caveats.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Neither outlet includes a response from Democrats or independent pollsters. Just the News omits the contrary New York Times/Siena poll and AFP's quotes.
- Charged language
- “shocking slim edge”“surprising, yet slim advantage”
- For example
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“GOP has shocking slim edge over Dems on affordability with ‘swing’ voters, conservative group finds” — New York Post
“Slim majority of 'swing' voters trust GOP more than Democrats to address affordability issues: poll” — Just the News
What every side reports
- AFP surveyed 24,089 swing voters in eight states and found 44% trust Republicans more on lowering costs versus 39% for Democrats.
- The survey has no margin of error and was largely conducted door to door by canvassers.
- AFP is a conservative, free-market advocacy group.
Where accounts differ
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Whether the result is a 'majority'
- Right
- Just the News' headline calls 44% a 'slim majority'; its text calls it a 'slim lead'. The New York Post calls it a 'slim edge' and a plurality-style narrow advantage.
Republican Party party
Presented as holding a narrow lead on affordability with swing voters, with AFP saying candidates have a clear opening.
““Republican candidates have a clear opening,” she added.” — New York Post
Democratic Party party
Described in the coverage as having hammered the GOP on affordability and as holding leads in other polls; no Democratic response is quoted.
“Democrats have hammered the GOP over the issue of affordability” — New York Post
Left0 articles
No coverage yet.
Centre0 articles
No coverage yet.
Right2 articles
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Slim majority of 'swing' voters trust GOP more than Democrats to address affordability issues: poll
Neutral Short poll write-up leading with the topline numbers and methodology caveats; its headline calls a 44% plurality a 'slim majority'.
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GOP has shocking slim edge over Dems on affordability with ‘swing’ voters, conservative group finds
Mixed Presents the result as a surprising Republican gain while noting the contrary NYT/Siena poll and the lack of a margin of error, and carries AFP's message about socialism.
- 1 Oct 11:30 First New York PostR GOP has shocking slim edge over Dems on affordability with ‘swing’ voters, conservative group finds
- 1 Oct 13:58 +2h 28m Just the NewsRC Slim majority of 'swing' voters trust GOP more than Democrats to address affordability issues: poll
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.