Cornwall Insight forecasts 16% January energy price cap rise as Burnham weighs help
Forecasters predict the energy price cap will rise 16% to £1,999 in January, driven by the US-Iran war. PM Andy Burnham says he is looking at measures to help but stresses limited public finances.
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The story, neutrally told
Consultancy Cornwall Insight forecast that the energy price cap will rise 16% to £1,999 a year for a typical dual-fuel household in January, an increase of £276. Daily MirrorL “forecasting the cap will leap by 16% to £1,999 a year” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ Daily MailR “an increase of £276 and the largest rise since January 2023” Read at Daily Mail ↗ It attributes the rise mainly to the US-Iran war, which has disrupted gas supplies and left EU gas storage at its lowest September level in 15 years. Daily MailR “EU gas storage stocks are now at their lowest September levels in 15 years” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Daily MirrorL “EU gas storage stocks at their lowest September levels in 15 years” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ Separately, Ofgem's price cap rises 4% on 1 October, even though VAT on domestic energy has been temporarily cut. Daily MirrorL “price cap is already rising by 4% tomorrow” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ Daily MailR “Ofgem's price cap increases by 4 per cent” Read at Daily Mail ↗
Speaking at the Labour conference in Liverpool, Prime Minister Andy Burnham said he was looking at any measure that could give people breathing space. Daily MirrorL ““We’re looking at any measure that can give people breathing space, that can take the pressure off.”” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ On BBC Breakfast he said every possible measure was being looked at, but asked how many the government could afford given the public finances. Daily MailR “'The question I've got is, 'how many can I afford?'” Read at Daily Mail ↗ According to the Daily Mail, he did not commit to scrapping a scheduled fuel duty rise or guarantee help at the Budget, which is due on 28 October. Daily MailR “he refused to commit to scrapping a scheduled increase in fuel duty, or guarantee cost of living help at the Budget” Read at Daily Mail ↗
EDF chief executive Simone Rossi warned the UK was walking into a second energy crisis, and the Mirror says he called for the VAT cut on electricity to be extended. Daily MirrorL “called for an extension to the VAT cut on electricity” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ Daily MailR “We are actually walking into a second significant energy crisis” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Burnham pointed to the 5% VAT cut on electricity until March, though the Mail says the typical £45 saving has already been wiped out. Daily MailR “the typical £45 saving has already been more than wiped out” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Uswitch urged households to consider fixed deals, saying the cheapest is £355 below the predicted January cap, while noting the exact level is too early to call. Daily MirrorL “The cheapest deal on the market is currently £355 less than this predicted January price cap” Read at Daily Mirror ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on.
Left1 outlet
- Framing
- Cost-of-living story led by the forecast and pressure on the Chancellor, with Burnham's openness to help presented as the response.
- Emphasis
- Household impact, expert and Uswitch quotes, and calls for help including the EDF boss's call to extend the VAT cut.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Burnham's caveats about affordability and public finances, the fuel duty question and the hint of tax rises are not covered.
- Charged language
- “surge”“cost of living crisis”
- For example
-
“PM Andy Burnham has hinted at more possible help with energy bills” — Daily Mirror
“Household energy prices look set to go from worse to even worse this winter.” — Daily Mirror
Centre0 outlets
No centre outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Political story about Burnham being held to account after his conference speech, stressing his refusal to commit to relief.
- Emphasis
- Fuel duty, fiscal constraints, possible Budget tax rises and the VAT saving being wiped out.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not include the Uswitch advice on switching tariffs or Cornwall Insight's comments on possible further support.
- Charged language
- “brutal reality check”“comes crashing down to Earth”“dodges”
- For example
-
“The PM was given a brutal reality check after his Labour conference 'vision' speech” — Daily Mail
“he refused to commit to scrapping a scheduled increase in fuel duty” — Daily Mail
What every side reports
- Cornwall Insight forecasts a 16% rise in the price cap to £1,999 in January, up £276.
- The price cap rises 4% tomorrow.
- The US-Iran war and low EU gas storage are the main drivers.
- EDF boss Simone Rossi warned of a second energy crisis.
- Burnham said he is looking at measures to help but gave no firm commitment in the coverage cited.
Where accounts differ
-
What Burnham's comments amounted to
- Left
- Headline and lede say he 'hinted at' more help with bills, quoting his 'breathing space' remark.
- Right
- Says he 'dodged' on relief, refused to commit to help or a fuel duty freeze, and hinted at tax rises.
Andy Burnham person
Says he is considering every measure to ease pressure on households but must weigh affordability and the state of public finances, and points to the VAT cut and long-term public control as answers.
“I'm considering everything that might help people in very difficult times” — Daily Mail
“We’re looking at any measure that can give people breathing space” — Daily Mirror
Left1 article
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Energy bills predicted to surge 16% to almost £2,000 in the depths of winter
Sympathetic Focuses on household hardship and pressure for help, treating Burnham's remarks as a hint of support.

Centre0 articles
No coverage yet.
Right1 article
-
Critical Portrays Burnham as struggling when faced with the crisis, evasive on relief and hinting at tax rises.

- 30 Sep 08:44 First Daily MirrorL Energy bills predicted to surge 16% to almost £2,000 in the depths of winter
- 30 Sep 10:04 +1h 20m Daily MailR Burnham admits Britain faces energy crisis but dodges on fuel duty relief for struggling drivers and hints at more Budget tax hikes... as he comes crashing down to Earth after big 'vision' speech
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.