Ipsos poll: 48% of Britons would not fight for UK; half back more defence spending
An Ipsos poll found nearly half of Britons say there are no circumstances in which they would go to war for the UK, while about half back higher defence spending. Views split on how to fund it.
1 / 2
The story, neutrally told
Right · 1An Ipsos poll published on 15 October 2026 found that 48% of Britons say there are no circumstances in which they would take up arms and go to war for Britain, according to the Daily Express. Daily ExpressR “But Ipsos polling found that 48% say there are no circumstances in which they would be willing to take up arms and go to war for Britain.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Centre · 1Anadolu Agency described the result as half of UK adults, and said the figure was unchanged since April 2025 despite rising security concerns over Russia, China and Iran. Anadolu AgencyN “Despite rising security concerns over Russia, China, and Iran, the figure for those unwilling to go to war for the UK remained unchanged since April 2025.” Read at Anadolu Agency ↗ Centre · 1The poll surveyed 1,090 British adults between 29 September and 1 October, Anadolu reported. Anadolu AgencyN “The poll, conducted by Ipsos among 1,090 British adults between Sept. 29 and Oct. 1” Read at Anadolu Agency ↗
Right · 1The Express reported that unwillingness was found among 56% of women and four in 10 men, and among 48% of Labour voters, 45% of those who backed Reform UK at the last election and 40% of Conservative voters. Daily ExpressR “This was the case for 56% of women and four in 10 men, including 48% of Labour voters, 45% of those who supported Reform UK at the last election, and 40% of people who backed the Conservatives.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Right · 1On spending, the Express said 51% back more defence investment even if it means cuts to public services, higher taxes or extra borrowing, and three in four would support it if it led to more jobs, including apprenticeships. Daily ExpressR “There is strong support for extra defence spending, with 51% backing more investment even if it means cuts to public services, higher taxes or extra borrowing.”“Three in four Britons would support increasing defence spending if it led to more jobs, including apprenticeships for young people.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Centre · 1Anadolu, citing Sky News, said that among supporters of higher spending, 37% wanted it paid for by cuts elsewhere and 36% by higher personal taxes; the most popular option, backed by 46%, was a rise in income tax on earnings above £125,000. Anadolu AgencyN “Of those who supported higher spending, 37% said it should be paid for with spending cuts elsewhere, while 36% backed increasing the taxes they personally pay, Sky News reported, citing the figures.”“increasing income tax on those earning more than £125,000 ($165,000) a year, with 46% supporting such a move.” Read at Anadolu Agency ↗
Right · 1The Express added that only 4% favoured higher taxes on earnings between £12,570 and £50,000, 3% would back a VAT rise, 39% would accept higher tobacco and alcohol duty, and 28% would likely buy war bonds. Daily ExpressR “But a mere 4% favoured higher taxes on earnings between £12,570 and £50,000 – and a paltry 3% would back a VAT rise.”“Fewer than three in 10 (28%) say they would be likely to buy war bonds to support new investment.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Right · 1Views of the armed forces were mixed: 29% rate their state as good and 36% as bad; 73% are confident they can help with tasks such as floods, but 51% are sure they could defend Britain against attack and 52% think they give value for money. Daily ExpressR “While 73% are confident the armed forces can play a useful role in tasks such as dealing with floods, just 51% are sure they can defend Britain against an attack.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Right · 1Since April last year, the share wanting a closer relationship with NATO rose 10 points to 49% and with the EU rose nine points to 50%, while 37% wanted a closer relationship with the US, up four points. Daily ExpressR “the share of Britons who want the UK to prioritise building a closer relationship with NATO has shot up by 10 points to 49%.” Read at Daily Express ↗
Right · 1The Express said the findings come as Chancellor John Healey, who it says quit as Sir Keir Starmer's defence secretary over underfunding, prepares his first Budget on 28 October. Daily ExpressR “Chancellor John Healey – who quit as Sir Keir Starmer’s defence secretary in protest at underfunding – prepares to deliver his first Budget on October 28.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Right · 1Shadow Defence Secretary James Cartlidge said Labour prioritises a "ballooning welfare bill over our national security" and that the Chancellor must set out a plan for 3% of GDP on defence; the Express also lists Andy Burnham in its subheading as accused of this. Daily ExpressR “Yet Labour continues to prioritise a ballooning welfare bill over our national security. The Chancellor absolutely has to set out his plan for 3% in the Budget”“Andy Burnham accused of prioritising a 'ballooning welfare bill over our national security'” Read at Daily Express ↗ Right · 1Lord Dannatt, a former head of the British Army, said the Government should make a clear statement of the threats to security to make the case for a bigger defence budget and to build resilience. Daily ExpressR “There needs to be a clear statement of the threats to our security and therefore the need to increase the defence Budget.” Read at Daily Express ↗
Right · 1Caroline Paskell, Ipsos research director, said the public mood is finely balanced and resistance grows when funding touches personal taxation or public services; a Ministry of Defence spokesperson said more people are joining the armed forces than leaving. Daily ExpressR “the public mood remains finely balanced when faced with the direct trade-offs required to fund this expansion.”“with more people now joining the armed forces than leaving” Read at Daily Express ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left0 outlets
No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Centre1 outlet
- Framing
- Short, factual wire-style report leading on the headline finding and the contrast with support for spending.
- Emphasis
- Sample size and dates, funding preferences, the unchanged figure since April 2025, relayed from Sky News.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Omits party breakdowns, views on the armed forces, political reaction and the Budget context.
- For example
-
“Half of UK adults say there are no circumstances in which they would go to war for Britain, a new poll suggested Thursday.” — Anadolu Agency
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Leads with a 'shock' finding and ties it to Labour's welfare spending and the upcoming Budget.
- Emphasis
- Demographic breakdowns, Conservative and Dannatt calls for a clear lead and 3% defence spending, and the Budget date.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Omits sample size and fieldwork dates and does not say the unwilling share was unchanged since April 2025.
- Charged language
- “Shock poll”“shocking new research”“ballooning welfare bill”“dereliction of duty”
- For example
-
“Nearly one in two Britons would refuse to fight for their country in any circumstances, according to shocking new research.” — Daily Express
“anything less would be a dereliction of duty.” — Daily Express
What every side reports
- Ipsos polling found close to half of Britons say they would not go to war for the UK in any circumstances.
- About half back higher defence spending.
- 46% support an income tax rise on earnings above £125,000 to fund defence.
Where accounts differ
-
How to state the share unwilling to fight
- Centre
- Anadolu says 'half' of adults, unchanged since April 2025.
- Right
- The Express gives 48% and calls the finding 'shocking'.
-
Who is to blame for defence funding
- Centre
- Anadolu reports no political attribution.
- Right
- The Express carries Conservative criticism that Labour prioritises welfare over security.
Ipsos organisation
Ipsos's research director says the public backs defence spending but resists funding routes that touch personal taxes or public services.
“resistance grows sharply when funding mechanisms touch personal taxation or cuts to cherished public services.” — Daily Express
Andy Burnham person
Named in the Express's subheading as accused of prioritising a 'ballooning welfare bill over our national security'; the article body attributes the quote to Shadow Defence Secretary James Cartlidge, so the attribution is unclear.
“Andy Burnham accused of prioritising a 'ballooning welfare bill over our national security'” — Daily Express
UK and Ireland1 outlet
The Daily Express frames the poll through domestic politics: Labour's spending choices and the 28 October Budget.
“The Chancellor absolutely has to set out his plan for 3% in the Budget” — Daily Express
Daily Express
Middle East1 outlet
Anadolu reports it as a straightforward international news item, noting concerns over Russia, China and Iran.
“Despite rising security concerns over Russia, China, and Iran” — Anadolu Agency
Anadolu Agency
Left0 articles
No coverage yet.
Centre1 article
-
Half of British adults would not go to war for their country: Poll
Neutral Brief factual summary of the poll, its method and the funding preferences, citing Sky News.

Right1 article
-
Shock poll reveals how many Brits are willing to fight in the Army
Alarmist Presents the result as a shock and links it to Labour's welfare priorities and Budget pressure for 3% defence spending.

- 15 Oct 07:00 First Daily ExpressR Shock poll reveals how many Brits are willing to fight in the Army
- 15 Oct 14:08 +7h 9m Anadolu AgencyN Half of British adults would not go to war for their country: Poll
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
Ask about this story
Loading…