Leaked CBP data: 98,701 southern border arrests in fiscal 2026, vs 2.2 million in fiscal 2022
Leaked internal Customs and Border Protection figures, reported by the Washington Examiner, put Border Patrol arrests at the southern border at 98,701 in fiscal 2026, the lowest in at least 59 years. Fiscal 2022, Biden's first full year, had 2.2 million.
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The story, neutrally told
Right · 1The Washington Examiner reported on 14 October 2026 that leaked internal Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data show Border Patrol agents at the southern border arrested just under 98,701 people in fiscal 2026, which ran from October 2025 through September 2026. Washington ExaminerR “Border Patrol agents assigned to the southern border arrested just under 98,701 illegal immigrants in fiscal 2026, which ran from October 2025 through September 2026” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Right · 1The paper said it obtained the numbers on Tuesday and that the government data are set to be publicly released in the coming weeks. Washington ExaminerR “Leaked government data set to be publicly released in the coming weeks”“obtained by the Washington Examiner on Tuesday” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Right · 2The figure averages 8,225 encounters a month and is described as the lowest annual total in at least 59 years. Washington ExaminerR “An average of 8,225 were encountered each month.” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Just the NewsRC “That figure would be the lowest in at least 59 years” Read at Just the News ↗
Right · 2It is more than 95% below the 2.2 million southern border arrests in fiscal 2022, President Joe Biden's first full year, when an average of 183,000 people were taken into custody each month, which is more than in the whole of the past 12 months. This is the basis for the headline claim of a decline of more than 2 million. Washington ExaminerR “The 2026 figure is more than 95% lower than the 2.2 million arrests Border Patrol made at the southern border in fiscal 2022” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Just the NewsRC “Border Patrol encountered and took into custody an average of 183,000 illegal immigrants every month” Read at Just the News ↗ Right · 1The Examiner noted that Border Patrol does not publicly list southern-border-only arrests going back to its 1924 founding, so the last comparable low cannot be known. The nearest benchmark is 1967, when 94,778 arrests were made nationwide. Washington ExaminerR “the 98,701 figure is the lowest since 1967, when 94,778 arrests were made nationwide”“making it impossible to know the last time such a low figure was observed there” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Right · 1For context, the Examiner said the southern border historically accounts for more than 90% of arrests nationwide, and that arrests held between 300,000 and 500,000 a year in all but one year from 2010 to 2020. It added that arrests fell quickly for several months in 2017 under Trump's first term before rising sharply again. Washington ExaminerR “Between 2010 and 2020, arrests in all but one year held between 300,000 and 500,000 per year.”“Border Patrol arrests quickly dropped off for several months in 2017 but then rose again sharply” Read at Washington Examiner ↗
Right · 1The Examiner attributed the drop in part to Trump's early executive actions on the border and said arrests fell within days of his election, which some called the "Trump effect". It also recounted Republican criticism of Biden and former Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas for allowing a crisis to continue for more than three years. Washington ExaminerR “Within days of Trump’s election last November, arrests at the border dropped, which some dubbed the Trump effect.”“Republicans accused Biden and former Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas of allowing the crisis to go on for more than three years” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Right · 1It said Democrats and immigrant rights groups have pointed to the pandemic, the halt in global travel, economic collapse and technology as drivers of the earlier surge, and that the Biden administration took steps that reduced crossings only months before the 2024 election. Washington ExaminerR “Democrats and immigrant rights organizations have touted the impacts of the pandemic, halt on global travel, economic downfall, and rise of technology”“It was not until months before the 2024 election that the Biden administration took actions that led to fewer people attempting to cross the southern border illegally.” Read at Washington Examiner ↗ Right · 1The Examiner also reported that, ahead of the midterm elections, Republican candidates have not stressed the border record. Right-leaning analysts it interviewed suggested reasons including that it is old news, that other issues are more pressing, and that voters are uneasy about deportations. CBP did not respond to a request for comment. Washington ExaminerR “Republican candidates have not significantly focused on reminding voters about Trump’s achievements at the border”“CBP did not respond to a request for comment.” Read at Washington Examiner ↗
Right · 1Just the News, a lean-right outlet, republished the figures the same day, citing the Examiner's report. Just the NewsRC “the Washington Examiner reported” Read at Just the News ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left0 outlets
No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Centre0 outlets
No centre outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Right2 outlets
- Framing
- Both outlets present the numbers as a measure of Trump's border record against Biden's. The Examiner leads with an exclusive and adds context on the Biden-era surge and the midterm campaign. Just the News condenses the Examiner's report.
- Emphasis
- The scale of the drop (more than 2 million, over 95%), the record low, and the contrast with Biden's first full year.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Neither has comment from CBP or the administration. Just the News omits the Examiner's historical context, the fact that arrests rose again after the 2017 dip, and the Democratic explanations for the earlier surge. Neither covers the figures' deportation or interior-enforcement side. No left or centre outlets had covered it.
- Charged language
- “border crisis”“Trump effect”“illegal immigrants”
- For example
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“Trump vowed as a 2024 presidential candidate to secure the U.S.-Mexico border and delivered on this promise” — Washington Examiner
“Border Patrol apprehended 2 million fewer illegal immigrants under Trump than under Biden: report” — Just the News
What every side reports
- Leaked internal CBP data show 98,701 Border Patrol arrests at the southern border in fiscal 2026.
- The figure is the lowest in at least 59 years and about 95% below the 2.2 million arrests in fiscal 2022.
- Fiscal 2022 averaged 183,000 arrests a month.
Where accounts differ
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Comparison framing and sourcing
- Right
- Both outlets are right-leaning and rely on one leaked dataset the Examiner obtained; the figures have not been confirmed by CBP, which did not respond. The Examiner says the data will be published in coming weeks.
Customs and Border Protection organisation
CBP's internal data are the source of the figures. It did not respond to the Examiner's request for comment.
“CBP did not respond to a request for comment.” — Washington Examiner
Donald Trump person
The Examiner says Trump vowed to secure the border and delivered, citing his early executive actions on the border and immigration.
“Trump vowed as a 2024 presidential candidate to secure the U.S.-Mexico border and delivered on this promise” — Washington Examiner
U.S. Border Patrol organisation
Border Patrol's arrest counts are the measure used; the agency does not publicly list southern-border-only totals back to 1924.
“The Border Patrol does not publicly list how many arrests agents made only at the southern border” — Washington Examiner
Left0 articles
No coverage yet.
Centre0 articles
No coverage yet.
Right2 articles
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Border Patrol apprehended 2 million fewer illegal immigrants under Trump than under Biden: report
Neutral Short rewrite of the Examiner's report, stressing the 2 million drop against Biden.

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99,000 arrested at Mexican border in Trump’s first year versus two million in Biden’s year one
Celebratory Exclusive treating the record-low arrests as delivery on Trump's border promise, with background on the Biden-era surge and a note on the GOP's muted midterm messaging.

- 14 Oct 11:00 First Washington ExaminerR 99,000 arrested at Mexican border in Trump’s first year versus two million in Biden’s year one
- 14 Oct 12:46 +1h 46m Just the NewsRC Border Patrol apprehended 2 million fewer illegal immigrants under Trump than under Biden: report
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
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