McLaughlin poll: Jewish voters back Republicans 64% to 33% on congressional ballot
A McLaughlin & Associates survey of 1,000 likely midterm voters found 64% of Jewish respondents backing Republicans for Congress. The pollsters caution the Jewish subgroup is small.
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The story, neutrally told
Right · 1A McLaughlin & Associates poll found that 64 percent of Jewish voters backed Republicans for Congress and 33 percent backed Democrats, a 31-point Republican lead. BreitbartR “The poll found that 64 percent of Jewish voters backed Republicans for Congress, while 33 percent supported Democrats” Read at Breitbart ↗ Right · 2Pollsters John and Jim McLaughlin published the results in an article on the firm's site on Monday. BreitbartR “pollsters John and Jim McLaughlin wrote in an article published by the firm Monday” Read at Breitbart ↗ Just the NewsRC “John McLaughlin and Jim McLaughlin wrote in an article on the poll” Read at Just the News ↗ Right · 2The survey covered 1,000 likely midterm voters nationwide, and Jewish voters made up 4 percent of the sample; according to Breitbart, the firm did not disclose the exact number of Jewish respondents or a margin of error for that group. BreitbartR “The firm did not disclose the exact number of Jewish respondents or a margin of error for that group.” Read at Breitbart ↗ Just the NewsRC “Jewish voters represented 4% of likely voters in the survey.” Read at Just the News ↗
Right · 1The McLaughlins cautioned that, given the small size of the subgroup in a national survey, the finding "warrants caution, but it is a trend Republicans should be watching closely". Just the NewsRC “that finding warrants caution, but it is a trend Republicans should be watching closely” Read at Just the News ↗ Right · 1Breitbart said the result would be a major shift from the large margins by which Jewish voters have traditionally favored Democrats, and cited CNN analyst Harry Enten saying the Democratic lead among Jewish voters on the New York House ballot fell from 49 points in 2022 to 13 points this year. BreitbartR “the party’s lead among Jewish voters on the House ballot in the state had dropped from 49 points in 2022 to 13 points this year” Read at Breitbart ↗ Right · 2Among other groups, Protestants (38% of the sample) favored Republicans 51 percent to 43 percent, Catholics (24%) favored them 48 percent to 46 percent, and Evangelical Christians (29%) favored them 56 percent to 37 percent. BreitbartR “Protestants favored Republicans 51 percent to 43 percent, and Catholics narrowly backed the GOP, 48 percent to 46 percent.” Read at Breitbart ↗ Just the NewsRC “Evangelical Christians, who were 29% of likely voters surveyed”“51% of likely Protestant voters, who were 38% of those surveyed” Read at Just the News ↗
Right · 1Democrats led 51 percent to 43 percent among secular, atheist, agnostic or unaffiliated respondents, and Muslim voters (2% of the sample) favored Democrats 63 percent to 37 percent. BreitbartR “Muslim voters favored Democrats 63 percent to 37 percent, though they accounted for just two percent of the survey.” Read at Breitbart ↗ Right · 2The pollsters said Republicans keep an advantage among religious Americans but with margins considerably narrower than Donald Trump's in 2024, including a 20-point Catholic margin and a 27-point lead among Protestants and other Christians in the 2024 exit poll. Just the NewsRC “Republicans continue to enjoy an advantage among religious Americans, but their margins are considerably narrower than Trump’s were in 2024.” Read at Just the News ↗ BreitbartR “Trump’s 20-point margin with the group in 2024” Read at Breitbart ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left0 outlets
No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Centre0 outlets
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Right2 outlets
- Framing
- Both outlets lead with the Republican advantage among Jewish voters as a possible shift in a group that has long favored Democrats, relaying the pollsters' own write-up.
- Emphasis
- The 64% figure and the 'nearly two to one' margin; Breitbart adds the New York trend and other religious groups.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Just the News does not give the Democratic figure or the full sample caveat on undisclosed respondent numbers; neither outlet reports independent polling on national Jewish voters or any Democratic response.
- Charged language
- “nearly two to one”
- For example
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“points to a potential shift among a group that has long favored Democrats” — Breitbart
“Jewish voters favor Republicans over Democrats by nearly two to one, poll finds” — Just the News
What every side reports
- McLaughlin & Associates surveyed 1,000 likely voters.
- 64% of Jewish voters favored Republicans for Congress.
- Jewish voters were 4% of the sample.
- The pollsters said the small subgroup warrants caution.
McLaughlin & Associates organisation
The pollsters present the result as a trend Republicans should watch while warning the Jewish subgroup is small.
“that finding warrants caution, but it is a trend Republicans should be watching closely” — Just the News
Left0 articles
No coverage yet.
Centre0 articles
No coverage yet.
Right2 articles
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Jewish voters favor Republicans over Democrats by nearly two to one, poll finds
Neutral Short report opening with the pollsters' caution and presenting the finding as a trend Republicans should watch.
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Poll: Jewish Voters Favor Republicans over Democrats by Nearly Two to One
Neutral Reports the poll as a potential shift among Jewish voters, with the sample-size caveat, New York context and other religious groups.
- 27 Oct 03:46 First BreitbartR Poll: Jewish Voters Favor Republicans over Democrats by Nearly Two to One
- 27 Oct 15:16 +11h 29m Just the NewsRC Jewish voters favor Republicans over Democrats by nearly two to one, poll finds
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
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