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Nasdaq hits record as Treasury yields stay near multiyear highs and oil eases

The Nasdaq Composite closed at a record on Monday 5 October, led by mega-cap tech, while 10-year Treasury yields stayed above 5.2% and Brent crude fell. Global stocks rose further on Tuesday as oil slipped below $100.

2 outlets · 0L · 2C · 0R First reported Account updated
Image: CNA

The story, neutrally told

Centre · 1Wall Street equities rose on Monday 5 October, led by mega-cap technology stocks such as Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Microsoft. Centre · 2The Nasdaq Composite gained about 1% to a record high, the S&P 500 added about 0.7% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.18%. Hindustan Times put the Nasdaq gain at 1.1% and a record closing high, and said the S&P 500 ended close to, but not at, its previous record. Centre · 2The 10-year US Treasury yield rose 3.4 basis points to 5.31% on Monday. Hindustan Times reported that it eased to around 5.27% on Tuesday after briefly crossing 5.35%, its highest since 2002. Borrowing costs across major economies remain near multiyear highs, which CNA attributed to deteriorating public finances, heavy debt issuance and elevated energy prices.

Centre · 1The dollar index rose 0.2% on Monday, helped by the euro's slide and elevated yields. The euro fell as much as 0.8% to a 17-month low of $1.1160 before recovering to $1.122, with investors worried about France's rising debt and political gridlock. The premium on French 10-year bonds over German debt rose above 150 basis points on Friday. Centre · 1Oil fell on Monday as Middle East crude exports increased and the G7 pledged to boost supplies, though fears of disruption linked to the US-Israeli war on Iran limited the drop. Brent settled at $100.32 a barrel (down 1.89%) and West Texas Intermediate at $89.43. Centre · 1On Tuesday Brent fell a further 1.3% to $99.07 and US crude fell 1.7% to $87.91, per Hindustan Times, which cited ABC News. Analysts said more oil was moving through the Strait of Hormuz and flows through Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline were recovering. Brent is still well above the roughly $72 of late February, and ING strategists said the market remained nervous about supply disruption.

Centre · 1Weak US jobs data reduced the chance of a Fed rate rise. September job growth slowed more than expected and the prior two months' payrolls were revised down. CME FedWatch put the chance of an October increase at about 24%, down from 64% a week earlier, with a December move still largely priced in. Centre · 1Elsewhere, European shares closed higher on Monday, with the STOXX 600 up 0.4% even as French stocks hit a six-month low. Brazilian assets rallied after Flavio Bolsonaro advanced to a runoff against President Lula. MSCI's global gauge rose 0.7%. Centre · 1On Tuesday, global markets were mostly higher. Early in Europe the FTSE 100 rose 0.8%, the CAC 40 0.8% and the DAX 0.8%. In Asia the Nikkei rose 1.1% to above 70,000 for the first time since early July, and the Kospi fell 0.9%. US futures were positive.

Centre · 1Analysts struck a cautious note. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's Lisa Shalett called equity calm amid a bond-market "perfect storm" understandable given accelerating growth and the AI boom's rate insensitivity, and said her team was watching earnings revisions, high-yield spreads and dollar strength. BlackRock Investment Institute said markets were pricing more Fed tightening than it expects, limiting scope for a sustained dollar rally. Centre · 1Hindustan Times framed the rally as investors balancing high yields, inflation, US debt above $40 trillion and Middle East tensions against expected strong corporate earnings and tech gains.

Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.

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No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.

Centre2 outlets

Framing
Both outlets are centre. CNA gives a market wrap of Monday's session, with analyst quotes on bonds, the dollar and France. Hindustan Times writes an explainer on why global stocks are rising on Tuesday despite high yields and oil.
Emphasis
CNA stresses bond-market stress, the euro and French fiscal risk, and Fed rate-rise odds. Hindustan Times stresses oil supply recovery, the $40 trillion US debt, and earnings expectations.
Leaves out or plays down
Hindustan Times leaves out Fed rate odds, the French spread and the Brazil election. CNA does not mention the $40 trillion debt or the Strait of Hormuz flows.
Charged language
“perfect storm”
For example
“"Relative equity market calm amid the bond market’s 'perfect storm' is understandable” — CNA
“Why are global stocks rising as oil prices fall and US Treasury yields stay near multi-decade highs?” — Hindustan Times

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No right outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.