Ofgem price cap rises 4% on 1 October, lifting average bill to £1,723
Ofgem's price cap rises 4% from Thursday 1 October, affecting over four million standard-tariff homes. The average annual bill goes up by £60, partly offset by a VAT cut on electricity.
1 / 2
The story, neutrally told
Ofgem's price cap rises by 4% from Thursday 1 October, affecting more than four million households on standard tariffs. Daily ExpressR “More than four million households remaining on a standard energy tariff are set to see their bills climb from Thursday, as Ofgem's price cap rises by 4%.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Daily MirrorL “More than four million households still on a standard energy tariff are facing higher bills from Thursday, as Ofgem's price cap rises by 4%.” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ The average direct debit bill in England, Scotland and Wales rises to £1,723, up £5 a month or £60 a year if sustained over 12 months. Daily ExpressR “an increase of £5 per month or £60 annually if sustained over a full 12 months” Read at Daily Express ↗ Daily MirrorL “an increase of £5 per month or £60 a year if sustained over 12 months” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ The change includes the Government's removal of 5% VAT on household electricity until 31 March next year, which the Government estimates will save the average bill payer about £45 a year; VAT on gas stays. Daily ExpressR “The removal of the 5% levy until 31st March next year will save the average bill payer around £45 annually, according to Government estimates.” Read at Daily Express ↗ Daily MirrorL “Households will, however, continue to pay 5% VAT on gas.” Read at Daily Mirror ↗
Both outlets say Ofgem attributed the rise to higher wholesale gas prices driven by the conflict in the Middle East, and note that the US-Iran conflict and the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed up global energy costs. Daily ExpressR “Ofgem stated that the rise to its price cap reflected elevated wholesale gas prices resulting from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East” Read at Daily Express ↗ Daily MirrorL “The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz – a crucial oil shipping route – has triggered fuel and electricity prices to soar at a pace not witnessed since Russia's invasion of Ukraine .” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ Uswitch urged households without smart meters to submit readings before the end of the month to avoid paying higher rates for earlier usage. Daily ExpressR “Comparison website Uswitch has urged households without smart meters to submit readings to their supplier before the end of the month” Read at Daily Express ↗ Daily MirrorL “Households on a standard tariff with typical consumption are set to fork out £145 on energy in October, up from £109 in September.” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ National Energy Action's Adam Scorer said there was "no light at the end of the tunnel" for vulnerable and low-income households and called for targeted support in the Autumn Budget. Daily ExpressR “The Autumn Budget must deliver additional targeted support for households most at risk this winter” Read at Daily Express ↗ Daily MirrorL “there is simply no light at the end of the tunnel for vulnerable and low-income households” Read at Daily Mirror ↗
Ofgem will announce the January to March 2027 cap in November; the Mirror adds that EDF forecasts a 30% rise to £2,098, and that Ofgem posted advice on social media urging people struggling with bills to act early. Daily MirrorL “major supplier EDF now forecasting a 30% surge to £2,098 – an increase of £375 on October's level”“Struggling with your energy bill? Act early to get help sooner.” Read at Daily Mirror ↗ Daily ExpressR “The energy regulator will reveal its next price cap, covering January to March 2027, in November.” Read at Daily Express ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on.
Left1 outlet
- Framing
- Consumer-help angle: leads with Ofgem's 'three steps to take back control' advice alongside the bill rise, and calls the timing the worst possible.
- Emphasis
- Ofgem's advice, the EDF forecast of a further 30% rise in January.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not mention Government estimates of savings beyond the VAT figure; otherwise mirrors the Express text.
- Charged language
- “worst possible time”“fork out”
- For example
-
“The increase arrives at the worst possible time, just as dropping temperatures prompt millions to fire up their central heating.” — Daily Mirror
Centre0 outlets
No centre outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Explanatory 'how it affects you' piece, leading with the rise and its effect on households.
- Emphasis
- Government VAT measure, Middle East conflict, Uswitch meter-reading advice.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Leaves out the EDF forecast of a 30% rise in January and Ofgem's social media advice.
- Charged language
- “particularly challenging time”
- For example
-
“The rise comes at a particularly challenging time, just as falling temperatures prompt many to switch on their central heating.” — Daily Express
What every side reports
- The cap rises 4% on 1 October, affecting over four million standard-tariff homes
- Average annual bill rises to £1,723, up £60
- VAT on household electricity is scrapped until 31 March, saving about £45 a year; gas VAT remains
- Ofgem cites higher wholesale gas prices linked to Middle East conflict
- Next cap is announced in November
Where accounts differ
-
Outlook for the January 2027 cap
- Left
- Reports EDF's forecast of a 30% rise to £2,098 and says experts predict a substantial rise.
- Right
- Does not give a figure; only quotes Scorer that forecasts suggest it will get worse.
Ofgem organisation
Ofgem attributes the rise to higher wholesale gas prices and, per the Mirror, advises struggling customers to act early to get help.
“Ofgem reviews the price cap for households every three months, primarily based on wholesale energy market costs.” — Daily Express
“Take these 3 steps to take back control.” — Daily Mirror
Left1 article
-
Daily MirrorL · · via PA
Ofgem shares 'three steps to take back control' days before energy bills rise for millions
Mixed Near-identical facts with a consumer-advice lead and a forward-looking warning of a bigger January rise.

Centre0 articles
No coverage yet.
Right1 article
-
Over four million homes will see bills rise this week - how Ofgem’s price cap affects you
Neutral Practical explainer on the rise, the VAT cut and the causes, with a charity quote.

- 30 Sep 05:11 First Daily ExpressR Over four million homes will see bills rise this week - how Ofgem’s price cap affects you
- 30 Sep 05:42 +32m Daily MirrorL Ofgem shares 'three steps to take back control' days before energy bills rise for millions via PA
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.