Maine Senate: Collins narrows women's gap as polls show a tight race with Jackson
New polls show Republican Sen. Susan Collins gaining among women and holding a narrow overall lead over Democrat Troy Jackson, though the race is close and abortion could hurt her.
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The story, neutrally told
Polls released in late September show Republican Sen. Susan Collins narrowly ahead of or close to Democrat Troy Jackson in Maine's Senate race. BreitbartR “Collins leads Jackson with 48 percent to 46 percent, with just 6 percent of Maine voters undecided.” Read at Breitbart ↗ NewsweekN “A New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena poll published last week gave Collins a 3-point edge.” Read at Newsweek ↗ Newsweek reports that a University of New Hampshire survey (Sept. 17-21) found women backing Jackson 51 percent to 47 percent, an improvement for Collins from July, when 54 percent of women favoured Jackson and 41 percent Collins. NewsweekN “women are siding with Jackson 51 percent to 47 percent”“41 percent of women intended to vote for Collins, compared with Jackson’s 54 percent” Read at Newsweek ↗ Breitbart cites a co/efficient survey released Wednesday in which Collins was viewed favourably by 44 percent and unfavourably by 47 percent, against 36 percent favourable and 47 percent unfavourable for Jackson. BreitbartR “She was viewed favorably by 44 percent of voters compared to 47 percent unfavorable.” Read at Breitbart ↗
Jackson became the Democratic nominee after Graham Platner, who had won the primary, left the race. BreitbartR “Jackson is the former state senate president party insiders selected after the withdrawal of Graham Platner, who won the Democrat primary in the state.” Read at Breitbart ↗ NewsweekN “polls since Graham Platner left the race show Collins gaining momentum with female Mainers” Read at Newsweek ↗ Newsweek says that since becoming nominee Jackson has led in all but one major poll tracked by The New York Times, though many leads fall within the margin of error. NewsweekN “Jackson has led in all but one of the major surveys tracked by The New York Times, though many of these advantages fall within the margin of error” Read at Newsweek ↗ Newsweek notes abortion may be a challenge for Collins: she said she did not regret voting to confirm Brett Kavanaugh, and Planned Parenthood Votes announced a $600,000-plus ad campaign against her. NewsweekN “Collins said she did not regret her vote to confirm Kavanaugh”“over $600,000” Read at Newsweek ↗
Her Biddeford office was vandalised; her chief of staff called it unacceptable, and Jackson condemned it. NewsweekN ““Vandalism is unacceptable,” Collins’ Chief of Staff Katie Brown said”“no place for this in Maine” Read at Newsweek ↗ Breitbart adds that the same co/efficient poll gave Democrat Hannah Pingree a 47 to 38 percent lead over Republican Bobby Charles in the governor's race. BreitbartR “Pingree led with 47 percent to 38 percent for Charles” Read at Breitbart ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on.
Left0 outlets
No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Centre1 outlet
- Framing
- Focuses on Collins's improving standing among women while noting Jackson still leads that group and that abortion could hurt her.
- Emphasis
- Women voters, abortion, Kavanaugh vote, Planned Parenthood spending, polls trending within the margin of error.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not cite the co/efficient poll or the governor's race.
- For example
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“Collins trails her rival, Democrat Troy Jackson, but appears to be gaining steam among female Mainers.” — Newsweek
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Presents the polls as showing Collins in front, with a lead over a weaker, lesser-known opponent.
- Emphasis
- Collins's topline lead, favourability gap with Jackson, and Pingree's lead in the governor's race.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not mention women voters, abortion, the Kavanaugh vote, or that Jackson leads in most polls tracked by the NYT.
- Charged language
- “far-left Democrat Troy Jackson”“party insiders selected”
- For example
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“continues to have the edge over far-left Democrat Troy Jackson” — Breitbart
What every side reports
- Collins, a Republican seeking a sixth term, faces Democrat Troy Jackson, who replaced Graham Platner as nominee.
- A New York Times/Siena poll showed Collins ahead 49 percent to 46 percent.
- The overall race is close.
Where accounts differ
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Who is ahead and what the polls mean
- Centre
- Jackson still leads among women and in most major polls since he became nominee, but Collins is gaining and the race is competitive.
- Right
- Collins 'continues to have the edge' and 'continues to lead', with Jackson less well known and less favourably viewed.
Susan Collins person
Collins said she does not regret confirming Kavanaugh; her office said vandalism will not intimidate the senator and staff.
“Collins said she did not regret her vote to confirm Kavanaugh” — Newsweek
“will not be intimidated” — Newsweek
Troy Jackson person
Jackson criticises Collins over Kavanaugh and condemned the vandalism of her office.
“says everything to me because I sure as hell do” — Newsweek
“no place for this in Maine” — Newsweek
Left0 articles
No coverage yet.
Centre1 article
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Susan Collins Is Gaining Ground With Women
Neutral Data-driven look at Collins's gains with women, balanced with abortion risks and Jackson's polling lead.
Right1 article
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Susan Collins Continues to Lead Maine Senate Polls
Mixed Poll report framing Collins as leader against a 'far-left' opponent, with partisan descriptors.
- 29 Sep 18:58 First NewsweekN Susan Collins Is Gaining Ground With Women
- 30 Sep 22:51 +27h 53m BreitbartR Susan Collins Continues to Lead Maine Senate Polls
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.