Quinnipiac poll puts Trump approval at 34%, tying his lowest level in its polling
A Quinnipiac University poll released 29 September finds 34% of registered voters approve of Trump and 61% disapprove, five weeks before the midterms. Voters also favor Democratic House control, 51% to 39%.
Updated (version 2). New coverage since the last version from Raw Story.
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The story, neutrally told
A Quinnipiac University poll released on Tuesday 29 September found 34% of registered voters approve of President Donald Trump's job performance and 61% disapprove. JNSR “Some 34% of registered voters approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president, while 61% disapprove” Read at JNS ↗ NewsweekN “He received positive marks from 34 percent of respondents, while 61 percent disapproved of him.” Read at Newsweek ↗ Those figures match his January 2021 ratings, his previous low in Quinnipiac polling; Newsweek puts his net approval at -27, the lowest of his second term. JNSR “Those figures match the president’s January 2021 ratings” Read at JNS ↗ NewsweekN “Trump’s net approval rating fell to -27 points” Read at Newsweek ↗ A Quinnipiac poll released 10 September had him at 33% approve and 59% disapprove. NewsweekN “59 percent disapproving and 33 percent approving of the president” Read at Newsweek ↗
His approval on the economy was 31%, the lowest Quinnipiac has recorded in either term, and 28% on Iran. JNSR “His 31% approval rating on the economy is the lowest Quinnipiac has recorded during either of his terms” Read at JNS ↗ Among independents, 25% approve and 69% disapprove; among Republicans, 81% approve. NewsweekN “Among independents, only 25 percent said they approve of his job performance, compared to 69 percent” Read at Newsweek ↗ Voters favored Democratic control of the House, 51% to 39%, though congressional Republicans (26% approve) and Democrats (22%) both scored poorly. JNSR “Voters favored Democratic control of the House, 51% to 39%” Read at JNS ↗ Raw StoryL “just 22 percent approve of how Democrats are handling their job in Congress, while 26 percent approve of Republicans” Read at Raw Story ↗
Quinnipiac analyst Tim Malloy called the numbers "a warning light flashing red for the GOP". JNSR “"A warning light flashing red for the GOP scrambling to stay in power,”” Read at JNS ↗ Newsweek and Raw Story link the decline to fuel prices and the Iran war; Newsweek also cites a University at Buffalo professor who says Republicans are on track for midterm losses. NewsweekN ““The war in Iran is certainly one of these. Gas prices and the broader affordability crisis may also be doing some work here,”” Read at Newsweek ↗ Raw StoryL “his poll numbers sink amid rising fuel costs associated with his ongoing war in Iran” Read at Raw Story ↗ On Wednesday Trump posted on Truth Social that the public "just doesn’t know how well we’re doing" and blamed the media, according to Raw Story. Raw StoryL “the Public just doesn’t know how well we’re doing” Read at Raw Story ↗
The poll surveyed 1,032 registered voters from 24 to 27 September, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 points. JNSR “surveyed 1,032 self-identified registered voters nationwide from Sept. 24-27” Read at JNS ↗ NewsweekN “with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points” Read at Newsweek ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on.
Left1 outlet
- Framing
- Focuses on Trump's reaction, portraying him as dismissive of bad polls, and on Democratic advantages.
- Emphasis
- Trump's Truth Social post, the generic ballot lead and the historical record of the House flipping.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Gives few poll details, such as the 51%-39% House result or the independents breakdown.
- Charged language
- “Trump insists everything's perfect”
- For example
-
“the jotted-off message probably won't be enough to convince the growing share of voters” — Raw Story
Centre1 outlet
- Framing
- Data-driven report on net approval at a second-term low with midterm implications.
- Emphasis
- Demographic breakdowns, other polls, prediction markets and expert comment.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not report the 51%-39% House preference or the issue-by-issue party comparisons.
- For example
-
“Trump’s net approval rating fell to its lowest point of his second term in a new Quinnipiac University poll” — Newsweek
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Straight poll report that leads on the tie with Trump's lowest level and Democratic edges.
- Emphasis
- Issue-by-issue approval figures, party comparisons and Malloy quotes.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Gives no cause for the decline and no White House or Trump response.
- For example
-
“voters give Democrats an edge over Republicans on control of the U.S. House and on several major issues” — JNS
What every side reports
- 34% approve and 61% disapprove of Trump in the Quinnipiac poll.
- The result ties his lowest Quinnipiac level, from January 2021.
- The midterm elections are about five weeks away.
- Congressional Republicans (26% approve) and Democrats (22%) are both unpopular.
Where accounts differ
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Why Trump's numbers are falling
- Left
- Raw Story ties the fall to rising fuel costs from the Iran war and presents Trump as out of touch.
- Centre
- Newsweek cites inflation, gas prices and the Iran war, citing an academic.
- Right
- JNS attributes no cause; it quotes Quinnipiac's Malloy on the effect on other Republicans.
-
In the Quinnipiac poll of Sept. 24-27, 34% of registered voters approve of Trump's job performance and 61% disapprove.
Reported- Reports 3
- Raw Story, Newsweek, JNS
-
Trump's approval ties his lowest level in Quinnipiac polling, matching January 2021.
Reported- Reports 3
- Raw Story, Newsweek, JNS
Donald Trump person
Trump says the country is doing better than ever and that the public is uninformed because of the media; he has called unfavorable polls fake.
“The Fake News Media refuses to disseminate our Record Setting Numbers” — Raw Story
““They’re putting them out at levels never seen before.” — Newsweek
Quinnipiac University organisation
Quinnipiac analyst Tim Malloy says the numbers are bad for Republicans this close to the election.
““Those are bad numbers with five weeks before Election Day.”” — JNS
Left1 article
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'Doing the best I can!' Trump insists everything's perfect and voters just don't know it
Critical Presents Trump's post as out of touch with falling polls.
Centre1 article
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Donald Trump’s Net Approval Rating Hits Lowest Point of Second Term—Poll
Neutral Net-approval story placing the poll among other surveys and midterm odds.
Right1 article
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JNSR ·
Trump approval ties lowest level in Quinnipiac polling as voters favor Democratic House
Neutral Detailed poll write-up with issue-by-issue numbers and Quinnipiac quotes.
- 29 Sep 21:56 First JNSR Trump approval ties lowest level in Quinnipiac polling as voters favor Democratic House
- 29 Sep 22:13 +17m NewsweekN Donald Trump’s Net Approval Rating Hits Lowest Point of Second Term—Poll
- 30 Sep 18:25 +20h 29m Raw StoryL 'Doing the best I can!' Trump insists everything's perfect and voters just don't know it
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.