Study: replacing dairy with unfortified plant-based products could lower UK iodine intake
A Lancet Planetary Health modelling study from the University of Surrey and Queen's University Belfast found that swapping dairy for plant-based alternatives could cut intake of iodine, calcium, riboflavin and vitamin B12 in the UK, with teenage girls and women most affected. The researchers call for fortification.
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The story, neutrally told
Mixed · 2A study in The Lancet Planetary Health found that switching from dairy products to plant-based alternatives could lead to deficiencies in iodine, calcium, riboflavin and vitamin B12, especially among young people and women, if the substitutes are not fortified. The GuardianLC “Switching from dairy products to plant-based alternatives could lead to deficiencies in vital micronutrients, especially among young people and women, a study has found.” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “British researchers writing in The Lancet Planetary Health journal said.” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Mixed · 2The researchers, from the University of Surrey and Queen's University Belfast, examined the UK market and found that 61% of the plant-based products had added calcium and 46% added vitamin B12, but only 19% were fortified with riboflavin and 12% with iodine. The GuardianLC “While 61% had added calcium and 46% added vitamin B12, only 19% were fortified with riboflavin and 12% with iodine.” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “Experts from the University of Surrey and Queen's University Belfast studied the dietary intake of 3,500 people from the National Diet and Nutrition Survey.” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Mixed · 2The Guardian reports the products analysed as 146 non-dairy milks, 76 yoghurts and 67 cheeses; the Daily Mail gives 164 milks, with the same figures for yoghurts and cheeses. The GuardianLC “including 146 non-dairy milks, 76 yoghurts and 67 cheeses” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “164 non-dairy milks, 76 yoghurts and 67 cheese alternatives” Read at Daily Mail ↗
Mixed · 2Iodine was the greatest concern. According to the modelling, replacing a fifth to a third of dairy intake with plant-based alternatives would raise the prevalence of inadequate iodine intake from 54% to 65% among adolescent girls and from 32% to 42% among women aged 19 to 49. The GuardianLC “prevalence of iodine deficiency rising from 54% to 65% of adolescent girls and from 32% to 42% of women aged 19 to 49 years old” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “the percentage failing to get enough iodine increased from 32 per cent to 42 per cent.” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Mixed · 2Replacing all dairy with non-dairy alternatives would push inadequate iodine intake to 80% of teenage girls and 72% of teenage boys. The Guardian adds that swapping a third of dairy led to a 9% to 21% fall in iodine intake. The GuardianLC “Switching to 100% non-dairy alternatives led to inadequate levels of iodine reaching 80% in teenage girls and 72% in teenage boys.” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “iodine deficiency rates rose to a staggering 80 per cent among teenage girls, and 72 per cent among boys of the same age.” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Right · 1The Daily Mail also reports calcium effects: around a third of teenage boys already fail to get enough calcium, rising to almost half after the swap, and 70% of teenage girls would fall short if all dairy were replaced. Daily MailR “Replacing dairy products with plant-based alternatives pushed that figure to almost half.”“If teenage girls made the same dietary swap, 70 per cent of them would be classed as calcium deficient” Read at Daily Mail ↗
Mixed · 2Dairy is a major iodine source in the UK: according to the Guardian, children get about half and adults about a third of their iodine from dairy, and there is no formal requirement to fortify vegan alternatives. Dr Sarah Bath of the University of Surrey said the UK is particularly vulnerable because it has no iodine fortification policy such as universal salt iodisation. The GuardianLC “In the UK, children get about half, and adults about a third, of their total iodine intake from dairy products, but there is no formal requirement for vegan alternatives to be fortified with micronutrients.” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “'The UK is particularly vulnerable to iodine insufficiency due to a lack of an iodine fortification policy such as universal salt iodisation” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Mixed · 2The study found that requiring fortification of all non-dairy alternatives with iodine would prevent average declines, and that adding iodised salt to bread would help reduce the share of teenage girls with inadequate intake. Co-author Dr Katie Nicol said government policy is needed to make fortification happen. The GuardianLC “Requiring all non-dairy alternatives to be fortified with iodine would prevent average declines, the study found.” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “'Fortification of foods is one way this could be better achieved. However Government policy is needed to make this happen.'” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Mixed · 2Some manufacturers already fortify. Danone's UK head of nutrition and science communications, Niamh Brannelly, said its core Alpro range is fortified with calcium, iodine and vitamins B2 and B12, and Oatly's Caroline Orfila Jenkins said all its unflavoured, non-organic oat drinks are fortified with nutrients including iodine. The Daily Mail also names M&S's Plant Kitchen range, and notes that organic alternatives cannot legally be fortified. The GuardianLC “its core range of Alpro products was fortified for calcium, iodine and vitamins B2 and B12.”“all its unflavoured, non-organic oat drinks were fortified with nutrients including iodine” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “organic milk alternatives cannot legally be fortified.” Read at Daily Mail ↗
Mixed · 2Experts not involved in the study gave measured responses. Dietitian Nichola Ludlam-Raine of the British Dietetic Association said it raised a population-level concern but did not mean everyone who switched would become deficient, and advised choosing iodine-fortified drinks and avoiding reliance on seaweed or kelp supplements. Professor Keith Frayn of the University of Oxford said the paper presented credible alternatives that largely but not completely alleviate the deficiencies. The GuardianLC “did not mean that everyone who switched would become nutrient-deficient because overall diet mattered too.” Read at The Guardian ↗ Daily MailR “'This paper presented credible alternatives which largely but not completely alleviate the deficiencies that would otherwise occur,'” Read at Daily Mail ↗ Mixed · 2The Daily Mail goes further on health effects, saying iodine deficiency could cause weight gain, memory problems and chronic fatigue, and that mild deficiency in pregnancy can impair children's cognition; the Guardian describes iodine's role in thyroid hormones, metabolism and brain development without listing symptoms. Daily MailR “potentially causing weight gain, memory problems and chronic fatigue.” Read at Daily Mail ↗ The GuardianLC “a trace element used by the thyroid gland to produce hormones that regulate metabolism and support healthy growth and brain development” Read at The Guardian ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left1 outlet
- Framing
- Science-report framing led by the study's findings and a call for iodine fortification of vegan products, balanced with industry fortification efforts and a dietitian's caution.
- Emphasis
- Fortification levels, modelled iodine shortfalls, comments from Danone/Alpro, Oatly and the British Dietetic Association, and practical label-checking advice.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not report calcium percentages for teenagers, the sample size of 3,500, or specific health symptoms of iodine deficiency.
- For example
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“Young people and women most at risk, study finds, as researchers call for vegan products to be fortified with iodine in particular” — The Guardian
“did not mean that everyone who switched would become nutrient-deficient because overall diet mattered too.” — The Guardian
Centre0 outlets
No centre outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
Right1 outlet
- Framing
- Consumer-health warning that popular oat and almond milks 'could be bad for your health', centred on personal symptoms such as weight gain and fatigue.
- Emphasis
- Health consequences of iodine deficiency, risks to pregnant women and children, calcium shortfalls and the policy gap over iodine fortification.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not include the industry responses from Danone/Alpro or Oatly's comment on the research, or the dietitian's caveat that overall diet matters.
- Charged language
- “serious nutrient deficiencies”“a staggering 80 per cent”“Why oat and almond milks could be bad for your health”
- For example
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“Swapping dairy products for plant-based alternatives such as oat milk and coconut yoghurt could lead to serious nutrient deficiencies, a study has found.” — Daily Mail
“iodine deficiency rates rose to a staggering 80 per cent among teenage girls” — Daily Mail
What every side reports
- The study was published in The Lancet Planetary Health and involved researchers from the University of Surrey, including Dr Sarah Bath.
- Only 12% of the UK plant-based products analysed were fortified with iodine, 19% with riboflavin, 46% with B12 and 61% with calcium.
- Replacing a fifth to a third of dairy raises inadequate iodine intake among adolescent girls (to about two-thirds) and women aged 19-49 (32% to 42%).
- Replacing all dairy raises inadequate iodine intake to 80% of teenage girls and 72% of teenage boys.
- The researchers favour fortifying plant-based alternatives, and adding iodine to bread, to protect intake.
Where accounts differ
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Number of non-dairy milks analysed
- Left
- The Guardian says 146 non-dairy milks.
- Right
- The Daily Mail says 164 non-dairy milks.
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Groups most at risk
- Left
- The Guardian says young people and women, particularly teenage girls and women of childbearing age.
- Right
- The Daily Mail says children, adolescents and pregnant women.
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Severity of consequences
- Left
- The Guardian quotes a dietitian saying the finding is a population-level concern that does not mean everyone who switches will become deficient.
- Right
- The Daily Mail says the swap 'could lead to serious nutrient deficiencies' and links iodine shortfall to weight gain, memory problems and fatigue.
Left1 article
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Neutral Measured science report that presents the findings, the call for fortification, and responses from manufacturers and a dietitian.

Centre0 articles
No coverage yet.
Right1 article
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Why oat and almond milks could be bad for your health
Alarmist Health-warning angle linking milk swaps to weight gain, memory problems and fatigue, with strong wording on the figures.

- 4 Nov 23:30 First The GuardianLC Swapping from dairy to plant-based milk, cheese and yoghurt ‘could lead to micronutrient deficiencies’
- 5 Nov 01:18 +1h 48m Daily MailR Why oat and almond milks could be bad for your health
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
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