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Trump approval edges up to 32% from record low in Reuters/Ipsos poll before midterms

A Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on 26 October put Trump's approval at 32%, up a point from last week's record low. Registered voters favoured Democrats over Republicans 47% to 36% ahead of the 3 November midterms.

3 outlets · 0L · 0C · 3R First reported Account updated
Image: The Straits Times
Image: Arab News
Image: The Jerusalem Post

1 / 3

The story, neutrally told

Right · 2President Donald Trump's approval rating rose to 32%, up a percentage point from a record low a week earlier, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Monday 26 October. Right · 2The poll came ahead of the 3 November midterm elections, which will decide which party controls Congress; Republicans are fighting to retain their House and Senate majorities. Right · 2On the "generic ballot" question, registered voters favoured Democrats over Republicans by 47% to 36%, with 11% saying they did not know how they would vote.

Right · 1That 11-point gap was 1 point tighter than in the Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on 19 October. This poll also asked undecided voters which party they leaned towards; with those answers included, Democrats led by 9 points, 50% to 41%. Right · 1Reuters noted that generic ballot polls give a national view but do not capture the state-by-state and district-by-district contests that decide control of Congress, where Republicans hold some structural advantages. Losing either chamber could complicate Trump's agenda in the last two years of his second term. Right · 1The version carried by Arab News adds that analysts generally see Democrats as having a good chance of winning the House but a steeper climb in the Senate, and that it is uncertain how many voters will turn out. Among those most likely to vote, Democrats led 53% to 44%.

Right · 1It also links the fight for Congress to inflation, which it says has surged since Trump ordered military strikes on Iran in February that raised gasoline prices; 73% of voters said their cost of living was heading in the wrong direction. Right · 1On the economy, 37% of voters said Democrats have a better approach versus 33% for Republicans, a reversal from before the war, when Reuters/Ipsos polls showed Republicans preferred. Some 46% of Democrats said they were very enthusiastic about the midterms, against 30% of Republicans. Right · 2The online poll surveyed 1,679 US adults, including 1,280 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points for all adults and 3 points for registered voters.

Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.

Left0 outlets

No left outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.

Centre0 outlets

No centre outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.

Right3 outlets

Framing
Both outlets run Reuters poll copy straight, leading on the small rise in Trump's approval and the Democratic lead in the generic ballot, in a neutral, data-led tone.
Emphasis
Arab News's version adds the Iran-strikes and inflation context, economic-approach numbers and the Democratic enthusiasm gap; the Straits Times versions stick to the topline figures and caveats.
Leaves out or plays down
The Straits Times versions leave out the Senate outlook, likely-voter numbers, cost-of-living and enthusiasm findings that Arab News includes. Neither outlet adds its own reporting or comment from the White House or parties.
Charged language
“record low”“steeper climb”
For example
“inched higher to 32%, up a percentage point from his record low a week earlier” — The Straits Times
“Steep Senate climb for Democrats” — Arab News

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