Street Fighter tipped for No. 1 US box office opening of about $30M
Paramount's video game adaptation Street Fighter is projected to top the North American box office this weekend with an opening of roughly $25–35M. Three other new wide releases are expected to trail it.
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The story, neutrally told
Left · 1Paramount's video game adaptation "Street Fighter" is expected to open at No. 1 at the North American box office this weekend, with Variety projecting $25 million to $35 million from 3,500 theaters. VarietyLC “will lead over fellow newcomers, with opening weekend estimates of $25 million to $35 million from 3,500 North American theaters” Read at Variety ↗ Mixed · 2Deadline expects a "high $30Ms" domestic start and a mid-$30 million international start, which would give a global opening near $70 million or more. Variety puts the overseas projection at roughly $35 million from 65 markets. DeadlineN “a high $30Ms domestic and mid $30M international start resulting in a near $70M global opening or more” Read at Deadline ↗ VarietyLC “Overseas, “Street Fighter” is projected to earn roughly $35 million from 65 markets.” Read at Variety ↗ Mixed · 2Legendary and Capcom co-financed the PG-13 film for a net $82 million, and Paramount is handling distribution. Variety says the film carries the biggest budget of the four newcomers and needs staying power. Deadline says it is the first theatrical release under Legendary's new global distribution deal with Paramount. VarietyLC “Legendary and video game developer Capcom co-financed the film for $82 million, with Paramount only on the hook for distribution.” Read at Variety ↗ DeadlineN “Street Fighter is the first theatrical release under Legendary’s new global distribution deal with Paramount.” Read at Deadline ↗
Left · 1Kitao Sakurai directed the film, which stars Noah Centineo and Andrew Koji and is set in 1993. It is the third film based on the Capcom series, after the 1994 Jean-Claude Van Damme version (about $100 million worldwide) and the 2009 "Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li" ($12.8 million against a $50 million budget), according to Variety. VarietyLC “This reboot, directed by Kitao Sakurai and starring Noah Centineo and Andrew Koji, takes place in 1993”“earning just $12.8 million against a $50 million budget” Read at Variety ↗ Centre · 1Deadline says the studio is avoiding comparisons with the R-rated "Mortal Kombat" films, which opened at $23.3 million in 2021 and $38.5 million in North America this summer. The PG-13 rating is meant to draw families and younger viewers. It also notes that the film has no China release, that it has a heavy Imax and premium-format footprint, and that Rotten Tomatoes scores were not yet available. Previews start Thursday. DeadlineN “Mortal Kombat was R, and Street Fighter is PG-13, hence there’s an opportunity around the world to bring in families and younger men under 18.”“Street Fighter steps out everywhere overseas sans China where Paramount doesn’t have rights.” Read at Deadline ↗ Mixed · 2Disney's "Whalefall" is projected for second place with $10–12 million (Variety) or $11–12 million (Deadline) from about 3,000 theaters. The survival thriller cost $60 million, and Variety says reviews are mostly positive. VarietyLC “Disney’s survival thriller “Whalefall” should secure second place with $10 million to $12 million from 3,065 venues.” Read at Variety ↗ DeadlineN “Whalefall, with $11M-$12m domestic in 3,000 theaters” Read at Deadline ↗
Mixed · 2A24's Elizabeth Holmes documentary "You Can See Everything", from Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim, is projected at $7–8 million (Variety) or high single digits (Deadline) from about 800 theaters. Deadline says it could pass $10 million if Gen Z audiences turn out. Both outlets compare it with "Melania", which opened to about $7 million and was the best documentary start in around a decade. The film has a 100% Rotten Tomatoes score. VarietyLC “A24’s much-hyped Elizabeth Holmes documentary “You Can See Everything” is aiming for a strong $7 million to $8 million from just 800 locations” Read at Variety ↗ DeadlineN “if the Gen Z crowd shows up, this could crack $10M+ at 800 theaters, which would be amazing” Read at Deadline ↗ Mixed · 2Focus Features' "Sense and Sensibility" remake, budgeted at about $25 million, is targeting $5–8 million from 2,436 screens as counterprogramming. Deadline reports reviews at 76% fresh. VarietyLC “the Focus Features remake of Jane Austen’s “Sense and Sensibility” is targeting $5 million to $8 million from 2,436 screens” Read at Variety ↗ DeadlineN “Reviews stand at 76% fresh.” Read at Deadline ↗ Centre · 1Deadline presents the weekend as the first releases since the Paramount–Warner Bros merger. Street Fighter and a limited 4K re-release of "The Devils" are the first two. It puts the combined studios' domestic gross at $941.6 million for Jan. 1–Oct. 11, fourth behind Universal, Disney and Sony. DeadlineN “The first two movies under the newly combined Paramount Warner Bros merger”“the combined domestic box office for Paramount and Warner Bros stands at $941.6M, ranking fourth” Read at Deadline ↗
Mixed · 2Variety describes the October box office as uneven, with "Digger" and "The Social Reckoning" flopping and "Verity" and "Other Mommy" shaping up as modest wins. Deadline expects "Other Mommy" to fall 60–70% in its second weekend after a $27.8 million opening. VarietyLC “So far, the October box office has been uneven.” Read at Variety ↗ DeadlineN “is expected to decline -60% to -70% in North America in its second frame after a No. 1. opening of $27.8M” Read at Deadline ↗
Every sentence links to the reporting it rests on. The pill in front of each says where its sources sit: Left, Centre or Right when one side supplies at least half of them, Mixed when they are evenly split. The number is how many outlets it cites.
Left1 outlet
- Framing
- Variety frames the weekend as theater operators hoping four new films lift a weak October, with attention to budgets and what each film needs to justify its cost.
- Emphasis
- Production budgets, staying power, franchise history and the uneven October.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Does not mention the Paramount–Warner Bros merger context or PG-13 comparisons with Mortal Kombat.
- Charged language
- “Strength in numbers?”“flopped”
- For example
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“the PG-13 action-adventure carries the biggest budget among the quartet and will need to stick around in theaters to justify its price tag” — Variety
Centre1 outlet
- Framing
- Deadline leads with the film as one of the first releases of the merged Paramount–Warner Bros, then covers detailed projections, demographics and international comparisons.
- Emphasis
- The merger, studio market share, rating-based comparisons, overseas comps and audience demographics.
- Leaves out or plays down
- Gives less on the film's production history and the earlier Street Fighter films.
- Charged language
- “Here we go.”“fisticuffs”
- For example
-
“Skydance co-CEO David Ellison yearned to merge the two historic studios in order to scale up and compete in a hyper-changing entertainment business.” — Deadline
Right0 outlets
No right outlet in our sources has covered this story yet.
What every side reports
- Street Fighter is expected to take No. 1 this weekend from about 3,500 theaters.
- Street Fighter was co-financed by Legendary and Capcom for $82 million.
- Whalefall is projected for roughly $10–12 million domestically.
- You Can See Everything is projected for high single digits from about 800 theaters, compared with Melania.
- Sense and Sensibility opens in 2,436 theaters.
Where accounts differ
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Street Fighter's domestic opening range
- Left
- Variety projects $25–35 million.
- Centre
- Deadline projects a 'high $30Ms' domestic start.
Paramount organisation
Paramount is distributing Street Fighter, which Variety says it is not financing. Deadline presents the release as part of the newly combined Paramount–Warner Bros slate.
“with Paramount only on the hook for distribution” — Variety
“The first two movies under the newly combined Paramount Warner Bros merger” — Deadline
Left1 article
-
Neutral Weekend preview centred on projections, budgets and whether each film can recoup its cost.

Centre1 article
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Mixed Trade preview that casts the weekend as a merger milestone and is upbeat about Street Fighter and the documentary's potential to overperform.

Right0 articles
No coverage yet.
- 14 Oct 19:45 First VarietyLC Box Office: ‘Street Fighter’ Aims for $30 Million Opening, ‘You Can See Everything’ Could Score $8 Million Start
- 14 Oct 20:39 +54m DeadlineN ‘Street Fighter’ With $70M Global Start & ‘The Devils’ Are First Paramount & Warner Bros Pics Opening Post-Merger – Preview
Times are when each article was published, or when we first saw it if the outlet gave no time.
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